Joe Arpaio: The Crappy Sequel

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Re: Joe Arpaio: The Crappy Sequel

Postby Nyarlathotep » Fri Jan 12, 2018 6:31 am

WildCat wrote:No matter how red AZ is, I don't see an 85 year old being elected to the Senate while not an incumbent.


Again, the Republicans aren’t going to vote for a Dem, no matter how old Arpaio is. It’s realky mostly a matter of how many stay home
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Re: Joe Arpaio: The Crappy Sequel

Postby Doctor X » Fri Jan 12, 2018 7:28 am

That assumes he gets the nomination.

Oddly enough the Fall of Bannon may prevent such.

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Re: Joe Arpaio: The Crappy Sequel

Postby Anaxagoras » Fri Jan 12, 2018 10:42 am

Doctor X wrote:That assumes he gets the nomination.

Oddly enough the Fall of Bannon may prevent such.

ANOTHER TRUMP MIRACLE!11!!!!!!

--J.D.


Already there is one poll, and although one poll isn't enough to have a high degree of confidence, he isn't leading right now:

https://www.abc15.com/news/state/poll-j ... in-arizona

Well, they're calling it a "dead heat". It's a 3-way race and the poll was taken on the day he announced, so who knows.

(According to the poll a Bannon endorsement would actually make people less likely to vote)

Former state senator Kelli Ward, who has been the front runner in recent polls, drops to 25% in this latest survey.
. . .
Ward falls to 13% with a potential endorsement from former Trump strategist Steve Bannon.
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Re: Joe Arpaio: The Crappy Sequel

Postby Doctor X » Fri Jan 12, 2018 10:47 am

What is humorous about that is a Bannon endorsement of Ward significantly sinks her.

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Re: Joe Arpaio: The Crappy Sequel

Postby Anaxagoras » Fri Jan 12, 2018 12:54 pm

Yeah, he's managed to shoot himself in the dick pretty good.

Cosmic justice. Or maybe just a fool who can't be helped. But this time last year he was Master of the Universe or something.
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Re: Joe Arpaio: The Crappy Sequel

Postby RCC: Act II » Fri Jan 12, 2018 1:43 pm

Nyarlathotep wrote:
Doctor X wrote:That and what voter that voted against him as sheriff would vote for him as senator?

--J.D.



Different pool of people. Statewide vs single county.

And his fellow Republicans aren’t going to vote for a Dem. Not in any meaningful numbers. So it’s only really a question of how many Republicans stay home vs how many Dems come out just to vote against him


A big part of the Moore loss were the Republicans who came out and refused to vote for either, with a lot of them writing in various candidates. Those write-ins were roughly the margin of victory.

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Re: Joe Arpaio: The Crappy Sequel

Postby WildCat » Fri Jan 12, 2018 7:12 pm

Nyarlathotep wrote:
Doctor X wrote:That and what voter that voted against him as sheriff would vote for him as senator?

--J.D.



Different pool of people. Statewide vs single county.

And his fellow Republicans aren’t going to vote for a Dem. Not in any meaningful numbers. So it’s only really a question of how many Republicans stay home vs how many Dems come out just to vote against him

He'd have to win the GOP primary first.
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