More Evidence the Trump Bump Among Black Voters Is Real

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More Evidence the Trump Bump Among Black Voters Is Real

Post by Skeeve » Sat Aug 04, 2018 12:07 pm

More Evidence the Trump Bump Among Black Voters Is Real
Trump’s Summer Support Among Blacks Nearly Doubled This Year.

Support for President Donald Trump among African American voters nearly doubled from August 2017 to August 2018. The percentage of black voters who approve of the job Mr. Trump is doing as president was 15% in the Rasmussen Reports Daily Presidential Tracking Poll on August 2, 2017.

As of August 2, 2018, the percentage of black voters who approve of the job Mr. Trump is doing as president has risen to 29%.
:o :o :o

I would never have seen this coming...did anyone else here expect it?
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Re: More Evidence the Trump Bump Among Black Voters Is Real

Post by ed » Sat Aug 04, 2018 12:24 pm

You know, black folks are really not as stupid as the democrats make them out to be. I think that there has been a gradual ... "awakening" for want of a better term. Look at that Rahm fucker in Chi. He withheld damning videos about a police shooting till after the last election because, you know, black folks will forget the manipulation cuz they are sorta slow like. Do you really think that no one noticed?

Then there is the direction of the party ... is it really a "direction" or opportunism by the leadership ... same thing probably. So what are the burning issues? Fuckers who are here illegally. Get 'em into school, get 'em lawyers. Poor boopsies, like everything for citizens is just perfect in this best of all possible worlds. And then we have other probs, big ones, like letting guys into chick bathrooms. Oh, the vapors.

Meanwhile
The black unemployment rate has never been closer to the white unemployment rate
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/pol ... bf13fca050

And whose watch?
Image

Who didn't see it coming? Anyone who is a racist, that's who.
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Re: More Evidence the Trump Bump Among Black Voters Is Real

Post by ed » Sat Aug 04, 2018 12:44 pm

Then there is stuff like the NYT thing wherein lefties bend over backward to create new definitions of english words in order to justify the essential intellectual bankruptcy of their position.
viewtopic.php?f=6&t=48207

Now, does anyone think for a microsecond that the black community cannot see racism? I mean, really? And do you not think that when the snowflakes start making excuses they are not reminded of their own history, nigh up until the present day?

And what do you think they are going to think? Pretty obvious, unless you are a racist who takes them completely for granted.
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Re: More Evidence the Trump Bump Among Black Voters Is Real

Post by xouper » Sat Aug 04, 2018 3:49 pm

ed wrote:
Sat Aug 04, 2018 12:24 pm
You know, black folks are really not as stupid as the democrats make them out to be.
Seems there are more and more people like this guy:

Elbert Guillory: "Why I Am a Republican"
1,469,837 views, Published on Jun 16, 2013, Elbert Lee Guillory



And more recently:





Image

Seems more and more black people are getting actually "woke".

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Re: More Evidence the Trump Bump Among Black Voters Is Real

Post by Abdul Alhazred » Sat Aug 04, 2018 3:56 pm

The interesting bit is that the alleged black Trump bump only has to be a few percentage points to make a difference in a close one.
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Re: More Evidence the Trump Bump Among Black Voters Is Real

Post by Skeeve » Sat Aug 04, 2018 5:24 pm

ed wrote:
Sat Aug 04, 2018 12:24 pm
You know, black folks are really not as stupid as the democrats make them out to be.
...
So what are the burning issues? .... And then we have other probs, big ones, like letting guys into chick bathrooms. Oh, the vapors.

Meanwhile
The black unemployment rate has never been closer to the white unemployment rate
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/pol ... bf13fca050
...
Who didn't see it coming? Anyone who is a racist, that's who.
I suspect that who goes to which restroom is not high on the list of major concerns for most of black America.

I do not consider myself racist, and the almost doubling of Trumps numbers in that demographic was a surprise to me.
Abdul Alhazred wrote:
Sat Aug 04, 2018 3:56 pm
The interesting bit is that the alleged black Trump bump only has to be a few percentage points to make a difference in a close one.
I guess we both have a general distrust of LSM polls.

However, if my memory is correct, Rasmussen was a company that actually was close to reality in the run up to the 2016 election.
Monday, November 07, 2016

Code: Select all

POLLSTER		TYPE		GRADE	MARGIN
ABC/WaPo		Live telephone	A+	Clinton +5
Marist Cl.		Live telephone	A	Clinton +1
Fox News		Live telephone	A	Clinton +2
NBC/WSJ			Live telephone	A-	Clinton +4
Ipsos			Online only	A-	Clinton +4
IBD/TIPP		Live telephone	A-	Trump +1
CBS/NYT			Live telephone	A-	Clinton +3
YouGov			Online only	B	Clinton +3
Gravis Mktg.		Auto. + online	B-	Clinton +2
CVOTER Int		Auto + online	C+	Clinton +1
Rasmussen		Auto + online	C+	tie
http://skepticalcommunity.com/forums/vi ... en#p844135

Not much to go on perhaps, but as a result of that, I tend to trust them a bit more than most.
Then Skank Of America could start in...

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Re: More Evidence the Trump Bump Among Black Voters Is Real

Post by shuize » Sat Aug 04, 2018 9:08 pm

xouper wrote:
Sat Aug 04, 2018 3:49 pm
ed wrote:
Sat Aug 04, 2018 12:24 pm
You know, black folks are really not as stupid as the democrats make them out to be.
Seems there are more and more people like this guy:

Elbert Guillory: "Why I Am a Republican"
1,469,837 views, Published on Jun 16, 2013, Elbert Lee Guillory

Yeah, I agree with most of what he says. Especially that blacks should reconsider their blind allegiance to the Democrats. But Guillory apparently has had a little trouble making up his mind on these things himself. Wiki says he was a Republican until 2007, then a Democrat, then back to Republican again in 2013 when he made that video. Wiki also says he's been married and divorced four times. I wonder if it's to the same two women?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elbert_Guillory

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Re: More Evidence the Trump Bump Among Black Voters Is Real

Post by ed » Sat Aug 04, 2018 9:16 pm

Skeeve wrote:
Sat Aug 04, 2018 5:24 pm
ed wrote:
Sat Aug 04, 2018 12:24 pm
You know, black folks are really not as stupid as the democrats make them out to be.
...
So what are the burning issues? .... And then we have other probs, big ones, like letting guys into chick bathrooms. Oh, the vapors.

Meanwhile
The black unemployment rate has never been closer to the white unemployment rate
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/pol ... bf13fca050
...
Who didn't see it coming? Anyone who is a racist, that's who.
I suspect that who goes to which restroom is not high on the list of major concerns for most of black America.

Nor most people aside from people on the extreme lest and that is precisely my point.
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Re: More Evidence the Trump Bump Among Black Voters Is Real

Post by Abdul Alhazred » Sat Aug 04, 2018 9:16 pm

Here is my skeptical take on all this:

There have been black "conservatives" of one kind or another all along, they just weren't numerous nor got much publicity.

Is there a bump in anything other than publicity going on here?
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Re: More Evidence the Trump Bump Among Black Voters Is Real

Post by sparks » Sat Aug 04, 2018 10:32 pm

And while the flip flopping Senator was crying crocodile tears over all Teh Childrenz in jail, he conveniently forgot to mention LBJ.
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Re: More Evidence the Trump Bump Among Black Voters Is Real

Post by gnome » Sun Aug 05, 2018 1:14 am

Skeeve wrote:
Sat Aug 04, 2018 5:24 pm
ed wrote:
Sat Aug 04, 2018 12:24 pm
You know, black folks are really not as stupid as the democrats make them out to be.
...
So what are the burning issues? .... And then we have other probs, big ones, like letting guys into chick bathrooms. Oh, the vapors.

Meanwhile
The black unemployment rate has never been closer to the white unemployment rate
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/pol ... bf13fca050
...
Who didn't see it coming? Anyone who is a racist, that's who.
I suspect that who goes to which restroom is not high on the list of major concerns for most of black America.

I do not consider myself racist, and the almost doubling of Trumps numbers in that demographic was a surprise to me.
Abdul Alhazred wrote:
Sat Aug 04, 2018 3:56 pm
The interesting bit is that the alleged black Trump bump only has to be a few percentage points to make a difference in a close one.
I guess we both have a general distrust of LSM polls.

However, if my memory is correct, Rasmussen was a company that actually was close to reality in the run up to the 2016 election.
Monday, November 07, 2016

Code: Select all

POLLSTER		TYPE		GRADE	MARGIN
ABC/WaPo		Live telephone	A+	Clinton +5
Marist Cl.		Live telephone	A	Clinton +1
Fox News		Live telephone	A	Clinton +2
NBC/WSJ			Live telephone	A-	Clinton +4
Ipsos			Online only	A-	Clinton +4
IBD/TIPP		Live telephone	A-	Trump +1
CBS/NYT			Live telephone	A-	Clinton +3
YouGov			Online only	B	Clinton +3
Gravis Mktg.		Auto. + online	B-	Clinton +2
CVOTER Int		Auto + online	C+	Clinton +1
Rasmussen		Auto + online	C+	tie
http://skepticalcommunity.com/forums/vi ... en#p844135

Not much to go on perhaps, but as a result of that, I tend to trust them a bit more than most.
It doesn't persuade me much--IIRC Rasmussen typically reports conservatives higher in the polls than other polling organizations. For example, in 2012 they put Romney as being ahead. So when a Republican actually wins it's going to make them seem better, but it could actually be stopped clock syndrome.
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Re: More Evidence the Trump Bump Among Black Voters Is Real

Post by ed » Sun Aug 05, 2018 2:55 pm


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Re: Planned protest, shutdown of North Lake Shore Drive aims to 'redistribute the pain in Chicago'

Post by WildCat » Sun Aug 05, 2018 10:46 am
Oh and note 2 mass shootings on this weekends list that somehow don't get the usual suspects in a tizzy. They only count when white people are the perps or victims.

Thanks, WildCat from:
ed
And that too is duly noted.
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